For now the problems in Thailand have subsided. Unfortunately this is just the end of a battle, and the war between Thaksin Shinawatra and the King of Thailand will continue.
On December 3, 2008 at 10:00 am Bangkok time, the People’s Alliance for Democracy (PAD) officially ended all protests and surrendered the airports. The PAD claimed victory in that they had caused the government to step down. However that is a half truth.
The truth of the matter is everytime the People Power Party (PPP) took a hit, it was because of self inflicted wounds. The wound that cause the party to be dissolved was actually inflicted before they were elected about a year ago. In fact it is hard to identify any significant thing the PAD did to change the thinking and the goals of the PPP. However the PAD was successful in protecting the new Constitution, and that essentially is the golden egg in all of this. He who has the golden egg has all he wants. Every hit the PPP took was as a direct result of the new Constitution.
There is much speculation as to what will happen next as this is the first run for the Constitution in this situation. Whatever happens rest assured Thaksin has not gone away and he will once again look to continue what he was doing. How and where his cronies end up is still going on so it is impossible to speculate at this time what things will look like.
If there is any sure fire thing that will bring the PAD back out it is the mention of tampering with the Constitution. Seeing how the Constitution is a barrier that is keeping the bad guys from being successfully bad, rest assured it is still on the bad guys hit list. How soon that will happen is hard to say, but most certainly not too long.
There is yet one more ingredient that will change things and that is the speech of the King. That is typically made in the early evening hours of December 4. It is unknown what the King will say, but no doubt whatever it is it will change things.
As for Thaksin, he has become silent for the last few days, however that is typical when things don’t go his way. No doubt he is busy trying to salvage as much of his crony government as he can. The unchanged that is being reported in the news are some preliminary names to be the next Prime Minister. To be frank, some of them have still not figured out how to successfully tie their shoes and would make a great puppet for Thaksin.
It is because of this regurgitation of corrupt politicians the battle will go on. No doubt the only thing they have learned is to redouble their efforts in not getting caught. The concept of change completely eludes them, and that will no doubt keep Thailand in the embarrassing spotlight.
If there was anything that came of this that may get through to the Thais who may yet again elect to vote for a Thaksin crony, is the huge global embarrassment and loss of face from what just ended. Not to want to be seen as a fool that can not learn, Thailand may indeed change come next elections.
There is one other possible thing that may have come of this. Because of the airports being closed, the effect was felt in nearly every government around the world. It goes without saying they are smart enough to see what eludes lesser educated Thais. That being that the convicted fugitive Thaksin Shinawatra is essentially behind all of this. Now that they have had a good taste of what Thaksin is all about, they may have second thoughts about letting him walk on their soil. The fact that governments had to invest money to compensate for Thaksin’s doings, may certainly lead to more visa denials from a variety of other countries.
There are also those looking to sue the PAD for the airport closure and understandably so. However if there are groups that do plan to sue then they should direct their lawsuits to the proper party being Thaksin Shinawatra. It was because of Thaksin all this happened. The PAD were reacting to Thaksin supporting a non responsive government that did nothing to stop the fatal attacks as well as being found responsible for at least one of them. Anger certainly may be justified, but please direct it at the right place. That is not at all to mention it is in very bad form to go after the true defenders of the monarchy for doing what needed to be done. That applies not only in Thailand, but in any country where there is a monarchy.