Noting the lack of direction in the March 14 Red Shirt rally, it is clear there was little or no agreement in the direction the rally should take. Many of the people attending the rally felt the Red Shirt leadership was nonexistent. Thaksin was in hiding calling in from an unknown location as well. This gave the general sense he had his tail between his legs. Together with the announced split between the violent and non violent Red Shirt factions, it has opened the doors for the violent factions to go at it alone.

However in general that never stopped the violent factions from being violent in the past, the only change now is they will not have the huge mob to repeat the April 2009 riots. So what that leaves is the cowardly M79 grenade attacks and assassination attempts at members of the government as well as people on Thaksin’s hit list.

The goals remain the same being to unseat the government, and with key figures riding around in bullet proof cars, long range snipers and powerful car bombs seem to be the remaining choices. The snipers would be targeting places where their targets would enter or exit their bullet proof rides. Car bombs would be anyplace along the traveled route with areas around the Government house being the best choice to assure the target passes the bomb.

As for the remaining more peaceful Red Shirts it is uncertain what they will do. Their intentions do not match their resources as many people who have attended the rally simply sensed defeat and would only come to a new rally if there was some monetary gain involved.

The Red Shirts however seemed to have struck on a theme that may get some new followers if they can do so insides the confines of democracy. If they can do this there is the possibility of getting some yellow shirt converts because they will have met their requirements of accepting that a democracy does exist and are using it within the law. There is no doubt there are some yellow shirts who are discontent with the elite class and would be looking to level the playing field for all Thais. The yellow shirts were the best available choice for them at the time, but this new direction by the Red Shirts offers refinement.

But the game is not over and the Red shirts are still in play. The most dangerous time will be before Thaksin’s assets are seized and his permanent ban on politics begins.

Thaksin has also sensed defeat with using rallies after this last showing, so it is very clear knowing his personality he is placing his chips on the assassination spot on the table. He has to be the only remaining choice thus the only man that can. Anyone else who shows a high level of competence will be near the top of his hit list. When he is the only remaining choice he feels he will have leverage and demand his money back and a pardon if the Thais want his help in saving Thailand from the remaining inept who are running the show.

No matter how you look at it, it appears some defective technology is to blame for Toyota’s problems. The high tech fly by wire approach that seems to work fine in aircraft, seems to have a bit of a problem with things that stay on the ground. So we have decided to put on our engineering hat and look at some of the potential things that can cause problems.

First off our gut feeling is they are looking in the wrong place. The news has reported that things work just fine and there is no reason for the cars to accelerate out of control. So using that as a truthful situation, we must look at what is left as possibilities.

The first place we would look is aircraft as that seems to be the parent fly by wire concept that started it all. When you get on an aircraft, they are very sure to tell you to turn off all your electronic devices and keep them off for the flight. The reason they say is they may interfere with the aircraft’s systems. So armed with the knowledge that some electronics are very vulnerable to stray electronic signals or electrical fields otherwise known as noise, you start at least to think about how much noise we drive through every single day.

For starters there are mobile phones and cell towers along the roads. As technology improves entire countries will be an Internet hot spot with high output routers placed along the roads. Then there is the basic high voltage electrical fields that are bleeding raw electricity into the air. Then there are traffic monitoring devices like radars being pointed directly at the cars. If we could see all of this with our eyes, it would look like a laser light show with hundreds of emitters every place you looked.

Police in some places use electrical pulses to disable a car’s electronics if they are in a chase situation causing the car to stall and roll to a stop. Those pulses are raw electrical discharges meant to fry the car’s computer. We talk about electromagnetic pulses that will do the same to electronics. We talk about sunspots and how much damage they can do to satellites in space. This all adds up to a bunch of dots that says the problem is not the car’s computer, but the places cars go.

So lets assume as an example some computer signal gets into the car’s computer and the car responds by acceleration to top speed. We need not say much more on this as it certainly is a possibility and would most certainly make a good episode for the X-Files. Because the signals are momentary there is no evidence that they even happened, and that is a good reason why they are having a hard time finding the culprit.

It seems the problem started when they started to believe their own grossly exaggerated hype about 1 million people marching against Prime Minister Abhisit and his government. Their grand plans seems to also have been betrayed by the Thai Achilles heel of not thinking things out to conclusion before acting. As a result all the Thai government must do is wait the Red Shirts out as time and logistics are against them.

After simply being told a resounding ‘NO!’ by Abhisit that he was not about to dissolve parliament, the Red Shirts returned to their base camp from the military barracks they marched to. But all is not as it appears, the underlying reason is logistics and not caving in to Abhisit. The Red Shirts have set up only one place in Bangkok that can support the mass mob that did gather. Toilets, food and water play a significant roll in what can be done. Marching 100,000 people across town left them with non of the supporting essentials forcing a retreat after being on remote location for little more than 1 hour.

This forced an emergency think tank and a symbolic pacifier for the mob of collecting blood to be poured at the government house. This is only a time buying effort as Abhisit’s western education has left him for the most part immune to any Thai superstitions that may apply.

So getting back to how logistics will play a roll in the outcome, it is clear they did not plan beyond the concept of choking Bangkok. It most certainly would be an effective tool with red ants crawling all over the city. But if that tactic was deployed it would only last 1 day at best.

The Red Shirts will not be immune from their own poison. By choking Bangkok they also choke themselves of re-supplying trucks. Because of their violent nature any place they went in any smaller mobs would be greeted by shuttered shops. This would be a natural instinctive reaction of people as their survival instinct would kick in. So simply the Red Shirts must bring their own supplies if they are leaving the main nest, and there has been no indication of 100,000 backpacks  at the main nest to deploy with the people. So marching around the hottest city in the world in the middle of summer without supplies quickly causes the Lo Bat signal to be displayed thus ending the outing.

If the violence option is chosen it must be in a single location where the supplies are and that tactically places Abhisit at an advantage as a repeat of the April 2009 riots unfolds. The logistics factor also caused the April riots to end at the nest because the remote riots also ran out of supplies at places like the Victory Monument a day or 2 before.

Tactically this leaves only one option for the Red Shirts and that is a full head on coup like charge taking the high ground by capturing government buildings. That tactic must be deployed and completed in a few hours or less to avoid government counter measures and running out of supplies.

From the outside looking in it appears to be a chess game with tens of thousands of red pawns being manipulated by the red king that is already in check. The red king clearly looks to defeat the white king but each move causes more and more to be lost.

From the news reports it is clear the Red Shirt leaders are using disinformation to anger the troops. However this was totally expected as the real information is no different than what would be seen in a typical western democracy.

At the time of writing this entry the Red Shirts have just encountered their first taste of reality with Prime Minister Abhisit saying no to their demands and he was backed by to coalition parties. All that disinformation being spread by Thaksin’s cronies for the last few months has not so gently been swatted like a fly with one 5 minute live TV broadcast by Abhisit. The Red Shirts responded with the call to march the rally back to the main nest to ponder the next move.

Needless to say the next move will be some form of escalation on the part of the Red Shirts. It is yet to be seen how devoted the Red Shirts are to wander around Bangkok in the blazing summer sun and humidity. There will be virtually no supplies as nearly all businesses will shutter their doors and windows if there is Red Shirt Activity nearby. What stores remain open will have limited supplies and they will quickly be consumed leaving the Red Shirts with few options. A typical 7-11 store could see to a few hundred thirsty and hungry people but not thousands. In this case the Red Shirt’s reputation for violence will most certainly come back to haunt them.

So if the Red Shirts do not get violent, the government will simply wait them out. If they do resort to violence, they will quickly run out of fuel as they meet shuttered shops. If they resort to breaking into shops they will lose face and have a hard time with self denial of the criminal activities they are doing. So it seems this confrontation may all come down to logistics, and no food or water during Bangkok’s summer will have many Red Shirts heading north.

It was absolutely no surprise that a video surfaced with Red Shirt organizers peeling 1000 baht notes off a stack to pay protesters to attend the March 14 rally in Bangkok. By all comparison 1000 baht is a lot of money being paid for this rally. In the past a few hundred baht was enough to get supporters from the Northeast to attend. It would seem Thaksin’s criminal convictions along with vivid memories of the April 2009 riots have raised the price of a rally participant a few hundred percent.

So assuming that Thaksin is the source of all that Billion + baht that has flowed into Red Shirt bank accounts over the past 6 months, it becomes painfully obvious that this exactly matches what Thaksin must do to stay popular. Essentially Thaksin must pay people to be his friends or helpers. With Thaksin’s increasing stench from convictions and obvious problems staying ahead of the law, an extra layer of money deodorant is now needed to get people to hang out with him.

So now if you look at things from the Red Shirt leaders viewpoint, the moment they are successful in overthrowing the Thai government, they will find themselves suddenly unemployed. After all this is another one of Thaksin’s signatures, when you are of no further use to him you are discarded like used toilet paper. So in the sense of job security, skimming just enough money to make the rally impotent insures yet another day of employment as the next rally gets planned.

Reading news reports that protestors are getting significantly less than promised to attend the March 14 rally, many have simply decided it is not worth the aggravation and risk of personal injury to attend. So that simply gives Thaksin a good taste of his own medicine as what was once ample money suddenly becomes short of what is needed. As the Red Shirt leaders line their own pockets, Thaksin is quite helpless to stop this because he needs to stay out of reach of the law.

But who is to place the blame on the Red Shirt leaders for doing this, after all Thaksin taught them exactly how to do it so it must be the type of behavior Thaksin wants (wink – wink) .

Needless to say it does not take much of an imagination to visualize Thaksin bursting a few blood vessels with rage as he gets a taste of his own doctrine. Certainly it is not wise to be in Thaksin’s line of sight while all of this is going on as there is no telling what he would do. It is highly doubtful Thaksin has reached this level of rage before seeing that it all is on the line. So once again it would seem that what goes around, comes around.

Prior to the onset of political correctness, adults that did have genuine coping problems had the choice of seeking out a mental health professional. Political correctness makes the assumption that everyone has mental health problems and needs to be protected. This wholesale over mothering approach strips the dignity of people who do not have mental health problems by implying they are some how less than whole or inept. By political correctness standards, political correctness itself becomes politically incorrect when you look at it this way. By looking to protect a very few, the fact is many are being harmed.

A person is also harmed by not being allowed to express their opinions and views if they are not seen as politically correct. This removes that persons dignity of expression. So in essence political correctness makes a double attack on dignity by stopping expressions and demeaning people by assuming everyone is a child who still needs protecting from the real world.

Political correctness tries to counter by using pronouns and avoiding nouns. There is never a name of a person that is being protected by political correctness. It is always ‘People’ or ‘The people’, and tends to assume everyone lacks the ability to cope. This is far from the truth and seems to be fueled by extremely flawed thinking supported by sheep mentality. People that over mother do much more harm than good. When an over mothering mother eventually dies, her child will not have learned the necessary coping skills for life and truly need the help of a mental health professional to play catchup.

So standing and complaining about political correctness seems to fall on deaf ears as they try to make you somehow feel wrong for standing up. But in this case significant ammunition is provided as human dignity takes a higher priority than anything political correctness looks to achieve. So the first step would be to circulate this 2 part series to as many people as you can. That way people will be on the same page.

Second is Do not be afraid to confront people who spew political correctness with questions about why they are trying to take the dignity away from people. That at the very least should make them pause as any answer supporting removing dignity is politically incorrect. Effectively it will make them stop in their tracks and confront what they are doing by re-framing political correctness for what it really is.

If enough people do this, you can clearly imagine yourself how fast things will change as political correctness will quickly become a snake eating its own tail. Very simply it is time to put things right again, and it all starts with getting people to read this 2 part series by a simple click below. Take you place and be part of ending political correctness. It will be a wonderful story to tell your grandchildren some day.

In contrast if you take a look at the people of Haiti and the regular suffering they endure at the hands of nature, they have more dignity that anyone exposed to political correctness. When they are knocked down, they get up and continue with life. Political correctness is based on the doctrine of over mothering in that people simply can not endure to have their feelings hurt. Not only is that demeaning, it is degrading to people who are subject to political correctness implying everyone is a child who needs protecting.

The man made monster known as Political Correctness has been criticized for many things. It has been seen consuming peoples freedoms and punishing people who do not comply. It has cause people to be weak willed and easily upset by the simple facts of life. In many ways it has removed the dignity of people to be themselves.

When someone has something basic removed from them, it is seen as an infringement on their dignity. For example the privacy of using a toilet is seen as basic dignity. The petitions in a public toilet provide basic dignity as people tend to the call of nature. Remove the petitions and you would clearly see people in revolt in a matter of minutes.

Extend that to the personal choices people make like where they want to go, who they want to see or what they want to do are also basics of dignity. Place a person in prisons and you have removed their dignity of where they can go. Public gang showers in prison are also seen as a removal of dignity as a person may not desire to show their body to another person. In short the dignity of privacy. There is much to be said about the new full body scanners being employed at airports to counter terrorism as people feel an infringement on their dignity.

When a person decides to involve themselves in something be it good or bad, they are using the dignity of choice. Good and bad are simply defined as having some affect on others. If your choice does not affect others then it is generally seen as a good choice. A smoker will affect the people around them even that they are allowed the dignity to smoke if they wish. Even that smoking is known to be bad, smokers are still allowed the dignity of choice and they are banished to the outside in the elements to indulge their habit away from others.

Under that description a person who may elect to watch a ‘X’ rated adult film in the privacy of their own home is seen as acceptable to all but people who have their own sexual issues and are in need of counseling or therapy. So the dignity of watching adults who have chosen to perform sexual acts in front of a camera is accepted.

When it comes to the movie or video gaming industry, a rating system has been employed to help parents keep young eyes and minds away from adult themes and the reality of the world we live in. Young minds must be allowed to develop and learn the foundations of morals and ethics as taught by parents. Once that foundation is there, normally they are allowed exposure to the real world gradually to toughen them up for the unavoidable hard times that will come someday.

This is seen also in nature as baby animals discover things to stay away from. The back end of a skunk is one such example. By over protecting children into their adult years, their dignity is taken away as they are expected to be making their own choices by then. The dignity of being an adult is removed as they are still treated like children with the inability to cope by people who are over mothering. In this case over mothering contributes to mental health problems as needed exposure to reality is removed.

Next Part 2

Trying not to sound bias against the Republican party may be a bit difficult with the out of touch absurdities that are coming from them. There is a very visible pattern of wanting to stay in the political bed with their big money contributors even if they have the political equal to HIV. There also is clear evidence that suggests not moving on health care reform is more about denying President Obama his cornerstone so there will be a better chance in winning the White House come the next presidential elections.

The republicans that seem the most out of touch are leading the republican pack. Of that group Newt Gingrich seems the loudest. Much of not all that is being said tends to deny common sense, particularly on health care reform. The foundation of their party is based on curbing governments spending, but like an American who is suffering from a catastrophic illness, saving money tends to be secondary. In this case the Republican party is trying to avoid tasting the soup they have cooked for the American public, and in turn look to force feed the American public their portion as well. That soup mostly consists of out of control health care costs and the unfortunate reality of needing to dig in the wallet to survive.

The movement of the new Tea party is seeded in anger at the government not moving. Ironically some Republicans are trying to repackage this anger and use it for personal gain rather than deal with the issues that are causing that anger. Posing for pictures with people who received benefits that they voted against. To clarify that; Republican ‘A’ voted against a bill that was later passed and signed into law. Then Republican ‘A’ posed for a photo opportunity creating the illusion he voted for it and not against it with the hopes Americans will remember the picture and not the vote come next elections. Quick translation Republican ‘A’ voted for the benefit of the Republican party and not for the benefit of his/her consistence. Unfortunately Republicans trying to capture and repackage the anger they caused may discover they are petting a rabid animal. The Tea party at least seems to be looking at the new school ways, and many Republican Americans are keen on that idea.

The Tea party movement has already changed the structure of power in Washington by installing a Republican Senator stealing away the Democrats super majority. Unfortunately this will only add to the problem as the old school Republicans will be able to dig their heels in deeper to resist the needed changes.

The Democrats are no angels as well, but at least they are trying to get things done and move America into the next century although it be nearly a decade late thanks to former President George Bush. Many of the things they are looking to do are costly, but it would be a balanced debate to argue against the long overdue need and the added cost because of that delay. Had this health care reform bill been done in 2000, Americans most certainly would have had more money in their pockets to endure $147.00 per barrel of oil, and would have at least reduced the severity of the economic meltdown and ultimately the size of the stimulosus bill.

In the classic good verses evil, good always tends to win out in the end one way or another. But during the course of the drama from time to time evil gets the upper hand for a while. If this is the final act or not depends a lot on your understanding of mental illness of the psychotic variety.

To a person who shows the same characteristics as Thaksin, there is no stopping until the goal is reached. To them it does not matter of you are a peasant, royalty or anyone in between, if you are in the way you will be eliminated. In this case Thaksin not only has that basic drive that has driven him to attack several times in the past 42 months since the coup that ousted him, he has a clock that is already chiming out the last 12 chimes. On or about March 28, Thaksin will be banned from Thai politics for life as a result of his assets conviction that was read February 26.

On that date the money in Thaksin’s accounts will be disbursed to Thailand’s coffers and he will be forever banned from Thai politics. This has set up such an urgency in Thaksin to stop the clock before the twelfth chime (more so than Cinderella) he is like a nuclear reactor with all the control rods pulled full out. So far neither Thaksin or any of his cronies have been able to over come the power and the teeth of the 2007 Constitution. So when the clock hits 12, it is game over.. Or is it.

This rally that is set for this weekend is not really a rally. It is an attack on justice and democracy all rolled into one. Simply put if Thaksin is successful in overthrowing Prime Minister Abhisit’s government, Thaksin will have successfully smashed the clock. According to the news and opinions of others, this so called rally is an invading army in disguise. Until one of the Red Shirts does something violent, the facade will remain in place and Abhisit will have limited options.

As for all the warning signs, it is simply deja vu from the April riots. Thaksin’s family is departing Thailand, and that is simply the last red flag that says there is a running fan sitting in the toilet bowl. As planned as they made it look, it simply is a warning sign to stock up on supplies if you live in Bangkok.

So Thaksin will try every possible thing to over throw the government, and a quick reminder nothing is too low for Thaksin to try. In the past when people thought he hit bottom on how low he could go, he simply surprised everyone and exposed another dimension that would make the most evil Thai mythical creature blush. So a full on assault with assassinations at the same time is well within Thaksin’s level of nastiness to see his goal.

The difference between this so called rally and the April 2009 riots is significant. In April Thaksin tried to burn Bangkok down and overthrow the government, but he simply misjudged Abhisit because Abhisit never flexed his muscles. Now Thaksin knows how Abhisit will respond, so Thaksin has called in all his resources. They include sleepers being pro Thaksin people working in Abhisit’s government, the police and military to act as saboteurs. Collectively that could tip the scale in Thaksin’s favor.  So simply use your wildest imagination and then think worse and you will have some idea of what Thaksin will do.

The fact that Thaksin is more low key this time suggests he wants it to appear it is the people’s choice and not his. However if Thaksin feels he has the momentum in his favor he will take the lead. If he is in close proximity to Thailand perhaps Cambodia you can be assured Thaksin is running things as the UAE will have non of it.

On the other note if Thaksin is not successful you can expect a private coup for the next round with one of the goals being ripping up that silly 2007 Constitution that says he can not play anymore. If you have any doubts about that, check with a psychiatrist and they will quickly verify that to be the case with people suffering from this type of mental illness.

Connecting the Dots strongly suggests you take this event seriously and to have adequate supplies and someone pleasant to pass the time with if you are in Bangkok. You could be stuck inside for several days while the Thais sort out their future.

On Friday March 12 at or around 12:00 noon, Thaksin Red Shirt Army will gather at the following locations in Bangkok. Care should be taken to avoid these areas. Each location is expected to have about 10,000 protesters. It is uncertain if they will stay at these locations or move through Bangkok before March 14.

On March 14 all groups will march to Sanam Luang at Rachadamnoen Road. Each groups intent will be the total disruption of all transportation. Noting that some of the locations are along both of the Skytrain routes there is a strong possibility they will try to disrupt Skytrain service and possibly the MTR Subway service as well.

• From King Tak-Sin Monument moving along the main roads.
• From Lak-Si Monument moving along Vipavadi road to the Victory Monument.
• From Nonthaburi moving to Phra Pinkrao Village 3.
• From Thung-Song-Hong Police station moving along Vipavadi road to the Victory Monument.
• From Bangna Intersection moving to Sukhumvit Road.
• From Lumpini Park moving along Silom and Rama IV Road.
• From Thai – Japan Sports Stadium moving to the Constitution Monument.
• From Thanyaburi and Lum Look ka moving to Pha Thum Thani.
• From Sumutprakarn Provincial Pavilion moving to Industrial ring road and Kanchanapisek ring road bridge.

There will also be gatherings in:

• From Northern Provinces Red Shirts will be gathering in Nakorn Sawan Province
• From North-Eastern Provenances Red Shirts will be gathering in Nakorn Rachasima Province.
• From Central Provinces Red Shirts will be gathering in Ayutthaya Province.

It has all come down to a decisive moment for the Thai people. The choices simply are move forward and become a better partner in a global community, or move backwards to satisfy the personal self serving desires of convicted fugitive Thaksin Shinawatra.

It all seems to come down to a few days of heated rallies that are due to start assembling March 12. The number of protestors as compared to the boasted numbers will be very different, but non the less the psychological card must be played by both sides.

Moving Thailand forwards or backwards in this case is not a metaphor, it is a genuine goal that has been well documented by the media. Prime Minister Abhisit wants to move Thailand forward and become a bigger part in the global community. By doing that there are significant gains and advantages for the Thai people as well as foreign businesses operating in Thailand. It is a win, win situation for all if it is done correctly and with transparency for all to see.

However for the convicted fugitive Thaksin Shinawatra, he clearly and frequently announces he wants to move Thailand backwards to September 18, 2006 and pick up where he left off. Simply looking at the calendar that is a 3.5 years backwards step. There is no sanity to this desire. It is simply an ego and greed driven obsession of a very sick mind. Thaksin simply can not accept the will of others no matter who they are be it royalty or not, Thai or not. Simply everyone who Thaksin can see without the use of a mirror is ignored.

But as it would be this is the decision by force that will be undertaken. Thaksin’s billions is funding his movement with offerings if he is successful in his bid to overthrow all in authority in Thailand, and then promptly see to their disappearance for daring to cross him. Because of that it is truly a sad time for Thailand. Thaksin’s followers have seemingly forgotten the wisdom of the King spoken to them in his many birthday speeches over the years.

Ironically this may be the fallout of Thailand’s education system. Whether by design or accident, Thailand’s education system is a complete disaster when compared to other countries. Failing students are passed ahead as long as they are still breathing. As a result they end up having no skills to have a financially successful or reasonable quality of life and will need to rely on others to have any measurable level of success. But even that the skills are not present, the desire to have things and a relatively comfortable life is not quenched by lack of ability. It is those people who follow Thaksin with the hopes of handouts.  They appear willing to sacrifice their country to a dictator in exchange for being allowed to sleep in class.

With that consideration it becomes a bit of a paradox to move Thailand forward. All elements of Thai society and government must be targeted at moving forward including the education system. If the education system was designed to keep the rich dominant in Thai society and the poor submissive and relatively uneducated, it does not matter what the morals and ethical background of the rich are. In this case a psychotic rich convicted fugitive may be the man at the top because using education or lack of as a controlling tool does seem to be a double edge sword for those who use it. It is this past decision that will decide the future direction of Thailand.

You could easily sit down and pick any moment in Thai History to start, but in this case we have decided that the turn of the Millennium is as good a places as any to start. After all any year that has a lot of zeros is a good starting place. So with that starting point we must first set the stage, and what is seen is a neglected part of Thailand with low educated Thais who are mostly farmers. For the most part the status quo was the rich and Elite Thais tending to their own while forgetting about the poor. The only person who took care of the Thais in this part of Thailand was The King as well depicted in footage that is frequently aired on TV.

Thaksin Shinawatra saw this potential and harnessed their voting power by tending to them with a few crumbs. As it was, a few crumbs was enough to buy their votes and get elected as Prime Minister. Once Thaksin was in power he continued to feed them crumbs and put the rest in his own pocket. But unfortunately for the poor lesser educated Thais they could not see what was going on. All they saw was present tense and to them future tense was a day or 2 away.

Because of that very limited foresight, they tended to be just vote cattle for Thaksin with little other political value. Because of that Thaksin was able to do what he wanted because it was over their heads. Like cattle at a slaughter house, they would have no clue to what is going on until the fatal blow was administered.

Fast forward to late 2007 and the pending December elections that would seat the pro Thaksin People Power Party (PPP). There was clear evidence of pro Thaksin propaganda in the northeast. Ultimately this propaganda would turn to become an educational tool as to the power of their votes. Although they were poor and uneducated, they had significant numbers to steer the political direction of Thailand.

To many people’s horror they saw the equal of a 5 year old driving a bus and catastrophic consequences of the country being steered by people with 4 to 6 years of schooling. That prompted a new political party called the New Politics Party (NPP) that looked to limit children playing with matches so to speak.

Fast forward again to 2010 and we now see and hear about a huge rally with grossly exaggerated numbers and billions of Baht being fed into Thailand from a location where Thaksin is known to be hiding. Doing a little math and comparison to history, this is most likely rally funding money otherwise known as pay to come to Bangkok and overthrow the government money.

With that said, the question about a political awakening or not is a double answer. When asking the question if the uneducated Thais know they have political muscle the answer can only be yes.

When asking the question do they know how to achieve their goals without external guidance from an educated leader, the answer is generally no. the reason the answer is general is because many of the younger Thais have a higher level of education, but collectively not in significant numbers as yet to set their own path.

When asking the question if this group can be ignored in the future, the answer is no. Very simply their needs need to be addressed. As the older less educated Thais die of old age and other natural causes, they next generation will be calling the shots. With that comes a higher level of political awareness and a greater interest as to what is happening down in the Big village known as Bangkok.

This will however be a gradual change like a growing tree. One day that tree will provide shade to any who wish to sit in it’s shadow. Because of that any political party that wants to stay in power must court this group. They may not be able to walk on their own yet, but most certainly their eyes are now forever open.

Connecting the Dots has been watching what has been going on as well as checking with our listening posts in Isaan and Northern Thailand, and we have come to the opinion that there is a significant concern about some of the tactics being employed by the Red Shirts. They clearly are of military design and thus pose more of a significant challenge than what happened in April 2009 in Bangkok. So as we are Connecting the Dots, we will now connect the dots for you as to what we see.

First off we must simply say the approach of Abhisit and his government are very admirable. The methods they have used in the past year have been proven to be measured and appropriate for the situation.

It is very clear there will be violence. All the little signs are there that the threat is trickling into Bangkok. However there is no significant evidence as yet to warrant the invoking of the Internal security Act. We are writing this entry on March 6 so events after that are not considered. No mass shipments of weapons have been detected as yet.

Thaksin has been unusually quiet and appears to be distancing himself from this wolf in sheep’s clothing rally. Typically Thaksin distances himself from violence as a form of alibi. The Songkran riots were the exception where he was clearly working at stirring the pot. Thaksin’s involvement has been passive in general with only contacts being with Red Shirt leaders, and occasional remarks on Twitter.

Another concern is there is clear evidence the Red Shirts look to disrupt Bangkok and use their vehicles as barricades. The government has countered by instructions to park the vehicles at Don Mueang Airport in northern Bangkok. This is a subtle way of neutralizing this military tactic without raising concern. How this will pan out is yet to be seen.

One of the biggest concerns the Thai government has is for innocent Thais being duped into believing this will be a non violent event. The Red Shirts are going out of there way to market this as non violent, but the fact is all the subtle signs are there and frankly there are too many dots to list except for the biggest ones. The government fears innocent Thais will find themselves in the middle of a unruly mob bent on a violent overthrow of the government. For lack of a better term, these innocent Thais will become a form of human shields.

Thaksin has set into motion calling this a people’s army and is setting up platoon type structures with a 1 to 10 ratio. It is all this military type readiness that is the biggest dot. A military structure is not needed for a rally if the intent is to be peaceful. Another dot is the intended size of the rally is meant to overwhelm.

Other concerns are news reports of six or more rally sites. Although we have only seen 1 report of this without naming the locations, it is totally a military tactic and would only be used in a divide and conquer tactic. The Red Shirts have floated this before and ran a series of small unannounced rally tests to see how fast the government would respond and in what way.

So the Government is selectively releasing information as significant evidence becomes available. Keeping their hands above the table is a bit of a handicap when nearly all of what Thaksin and the Red Shirts are doing is under the table.

The government along with other observers expect an explosion of violence on Que, and as it would be the government must wait for the Red Shirts to take the first swing in order to legitimize countering tactics. But it is clear already this will be a military style conflict as it remains Thaksin’s only choice. His options have been limited to this because of the February 26 court ruling that found him guilty. 30 days after the ruling he will be banned from politics for life and even for Thaksin it becomes hard to legitimize himself going against a mandate spelled out in the Constitution. Totally ignoring the laws will turn Thailand into a lawless state and only Thaksin’s personal laws will be the law of the land.

With late breaking news reports about 3000 rounds of ammunition and 20 grenades suddenly missing, and certain pro Thaksin military personal in and around the area where the arms went missing in recent weeks, it looks like the dots are clearly lining up to take advantage of using the governments tactics against the government. That is to go in with measured force to control the crowd and then suddenly discovering the crowd is not unarmed and hungry for blood responding with overwhelming force to neutralize the unarmed riot control police and military.

If you read what the Red Shirts are saying together with Thaksin, this coming rally is not a rally but actually a strategic assault. There are clearly defined goals that amount to holding that good kid’s arms while the bully has a go at him. This in specific is attempting to interfere with the military by attempting to keep them trapped in barracks and not let them deploy.

Quoting The Nation quoting Jatuporn;

Ahead of the mass rally in the capital, mobile units of  red shirts will lay siege at Army bases to block the troops from staging a coup or cracking down protesters.

The targeted bases include those of the 2nd Infantry Division in Prachin Buri, the 21st Infantry Regiment in Chon Buri, the 31st Infantry Regiment in Lop Buri and the 9th Infantry Division in Kanchanaburi.

Connecting the Dots has not checked but their may be some military laws pertaining to interfering with the military that could provide a reason to deal with this group in a less than subtle way and insulate the government. It would be a 100% military issue dealing with people who look to interfere with the military conducting its duties to King and country.

At this point it has nothing at all to do with democracy and everything to do with a coup by Thaksin to forcefully overthrow the government himself. If this is indeed the game plan then Thaksin hopes to make this so called rally the big brother of the April 2009 riots, and that is exactly Thaksin’s signature being to hit harder with a bigger hammer with every attempt.

This will clearly result in treason charges and a likely death penalty. If Thaksin’s attempt should fail, expect more of Thaksin’s cronies running out of Thailand with their tail tucked between their legs. This will simply be to severe to overlook and let slide and glide through the courts. These people will be in jail without bail waiting to stand in front of the judge.

Meanwhile as all of this is going down, per usual Thaksin will be comfortably out of reach and very possibly calling the shots from Cambodia. To do so from the UAE will simply not be tolerated.

If the red shirts do manage to muster numbers, there is likely to be a sea of yellow shirts to back up the military and the police, thus putting a damper on the effectiveness of the number of red shirts. Unfortunately the yellow shirts are not under the same mandate of no violence. In the past any violence by the yellow shirts was used in defense and not offense. So seeing big numbers of yellow shirts waiting inside government compounds may effectively stop the Red Shirts. If conflict takes place inside government building compounds, it is already clear that the Red Shirts breached the perimeter and are on an assault. Looking ahead on how that will stand up in court, it would simply be self defense on the part of the yellow shirts as in fact they would be acting in the capacity of a militia.